Senior officer of American ISuppli company and total analyst (SeniorDirectorandPrincipalAnalyst) the seminar that HenningWicht sponsors in this company " ISuppliJapanSeminar2008 " go up, unit to crystallization silicon solar battery raw material -- the circumstance made the supply demand relations of polycrystalline silicon material forecast: "2010, the solar battery will alleviate with the supply demand relations of silicon material. Before this, the price of spot market will fall considerably 2009. "

Compare demand and supply knowable, the demand 2010 and supply are balanced, after this supply will exceed demand considerably. Because supply demand relations is balanced, accordingly the price of material of around polycrystalline silicon will fall 2010.

And, wicht says, the demand 2009 is compared on year increase 34 ％ , and supply is compared however on year increase 100 ％ , beg for be more than. Manufacturer of partial solar battery will not consume the polycrystalline silicon stuff that order, enter the increase of polycrystalline silicon material of spot market. Its can be brought about as a result the spot price of polycrystalline silicon material dropped considerably 2009.

Particular value is: The spot price 2008 is 400 dollars / Kg left and right sides, will drop to 250 dollars 2009 / Kg left and right sides. After this, spot price also will appear slow drop, will drop to 2011 for 100 dollars / Kg left and right sides.